Coleman McCormick

🤕 Accidental Harm →

December 19, 2019 • #

This piece resonated in the wake of the mess around California’s AB5 legislation, which puts limitations on classifying workers as independent contractors. The backlash to AB5 shows how it’s a case study in unintended consequences.

The modern interventionist’s view wildly overestimates how well problems are understood, and what the second- or third-order consequences of an intervention might be.

I’m reminded here of Hayek’s quote on economics (applicable to any uncertain, massively complex field):

The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design.

In complicated, many-sided issues like the AB5 one, it makes sense to take small steps to react to the issue at hand (which is, admittedly, a mess and imperfect for employees). Sweeping steps like AB5 feel good and address one problem while simultaneously generating multiple others.

Topics:   risk   antifragility   economics